Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 86%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 4 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 86% on 4 Mar 2025 and the low 27.5% on 4 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 86% on 4 Mar 2025. $62.52K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 8:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 29 points · 4 Feb 2025 – 4 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2025 | 27.5% |
| 4 Mar 2025 | 86.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On February 3, Trump announced that “Tariffs announced on Saturday will be paused for a 30 day period” (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113942189236610107) This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time between February 3, and May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-tariffs-on-canada-in-effect-by-may-1
| limitlessinvestor | No | 25.64 |
| Kaninchen | No | 24.59 |
| PO8544 | Yes | 18.6 |
| REESEPERNS | No | 8.2 |
| Ponzu-075 | No | 1.69 |
| Ddioh2 | No | 0.09 |
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