Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.2%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.8% on 21 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 44.5% on 30 Jun 2026. $1.54K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 6:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 46.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 7.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Reflecting-Candidate | Yes | 153.9 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| gotlibhy | Yes | 34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miguel Diaz-Canel talks with Donald Trump between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Migueal Diaz-Canel and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-talks-to-cuba-leader-diaz-canel-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 20.64 |
| win1rstmillion2027. | Yes | 16.57 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 11.08 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| 76dgdf | Yes | 2.5 |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes | 0.01 |
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