Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 12 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2025 to 15 Mar 2025, the highest close was 52.5% on 12 Mar 2025 and the lowest 1% on 15 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 30% on 13 Mar 2025. $1.97K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 7:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Mar 2025 – 15 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2025 | 52.5% |
| 15 Mar 2025 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deadly-Glockenspiel | Yes | 1.25 |
| milize | No | 0.01 |
| skybuyer24 | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump speaks with Mark Carney between March 10 and March 14, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Conversations via phone or video call will count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump, Carney, their official representatives, and the governments of the US and Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-speaks-to-carney-by-friday
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