Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.2%. Yes opened at 41% on 26 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2025 to 5 Sep 2025, the highest close was 96.2% on 5 Sep 2025 and the lowest 20.5% on 30 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 70 points up, to 96.2% on 5 Sep 2025. $235.8K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 7, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 26 Aug 2025 – 5 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2025 | 41.0% |
| 5 Sep 2025 | 96.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ArthurGreen | No | 11.75K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 4.17K |
| 0xFJAFJKLDSKF7JKFDJ | No | 4K |
| ManBa | No | 3.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On August 18, 2025, President Donald J. Trump mentioned he wished to change the name of the Department of Defense. You can read more about that here: https://www.newsweek.com/trump-hegseth-department-defense-name-change-war-2118837 This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of the Department of Defense by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that renames the Department of Defense will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-department-of-defense-by-september-30
| ItsTACOTuesday | No | 942.5 |
| Boris228 | No | 791.11 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 454 |
| 31518209141 | No | 400.42 |
| g128 | No | 398.11 |
| DaveAndMart | No | 396.04 |
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