Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 60.5% on 30 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.7% on 6 May 2025 and the low 60.5% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 97.5% on 1 May 2025. $118.72K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 30 Apr 2025 – 6 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2025 | 60.5% |
| 6 May 2025 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| numbats | No | 17.73K |
| ArthurGreen | No | 127.1 |
| ebarr24 | No | 2.44 |
| cnTMbzuLmB | No | 2 |
| GeepaP | Yes | 0.02 |
| theamityaff | Yes | 0.01 |
| uriidmitrych | Yes | 0.01 |
| Karekken | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Prime Minister-designate of Canada Mark Carney between April 28 and May 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Carney and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-carney-before-june
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