Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 36.5% on 19 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 5.2% on 20 Dec 2025. $27.62K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 36.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 395 |
| Worrisome-Atelier | Yes | 316.54 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 192 |
| oneagainstthree | Yes | 191.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities against Venezuela by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the listed date of the report. This market may stay open until January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to allow for a qualifying report to be published. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-war-powers-against-venezuela-by
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 175 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Educated-Hanger | Yes | 148.68 |
| Amber Quasar C768 | Yes | 135.65 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 134 |
| Sentimental-Encounter | Yes | 107.14 |
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