Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 65.5%. Yes opened at 79% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2025 to 4 Mar 2025, the highest close was 79% on 1 Mar 2025 and the lowest 59.5% on 3 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 62.5% on 2 Mar 2025. $60.07K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 5:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 4 Mar 2025, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 79.0% |
| 4 Mar 2025 | 65.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DonaldLucky | No | 5K |
| praddict | No | 181.61 |
| cuntactor | No | 166.67 |
| dmadlener | No | 124.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or his administration takes any action aimed at reducing aid to Ukraine between February 28th 2:00 ET and March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." General reductions in military spending or foreign aid that are not specifically targeted at Ukraine will not qualify. A qualifying action must clearly indicate an intent to reduce, restrict, or eliminate aid to Ukraine. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-cuts-ukraine-aid-before-april
New to prediction markets?
| APMcM | No | 71.43 |
| Paaul | No | 27.63 |
| AndreyGeo | Yes | 2.7 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 0.02 |
