Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 91% on 13 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 118 daily closes on record from 13 Mar 2025 to 8 Jul 2025, the highest close was 99.7% on 8 Jul 2025 and the lowest 89.5% on 24 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.6 points up, to 97.5% on 18 Apr 2025. $44.96K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 13 Mar 2025 – 8 Jul 2025, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2025 | 91.0% |
| 8 Jul 2025 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rdunjgiofnuei | No | 1.43K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 488 |
| n0stradamus124 | No | 400 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill is signed into law by Donald Trump that reduces or removes US federal taxes of any kind or renews/extends expiring tax cuts between March 11 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-cuts-taxes-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 200 |
| wejay | No | 176.67 |
| mojokette | No | 94.73 |
| thermodynamics0 | No | 48 |
| conv1cted | No | 38.34 |
| butts | No | 30 |
| tixon | No | 23.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
