Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 75.5% on 16 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2025 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 75.5% on 16 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 15.5% on 18 Jan 2025. $81.64K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 12:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 16 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2025 | 75.5% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EvaristeGalois | Yes | 364.56 |
| Affectionate-Essence | Yes | 27.78 |
| Steven98 | Yes | 10 |
| HarrePotta | Yes | 6.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly claims that his 2025 presidential inauguration had the largest crowd size in history by January 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Any public statement from Trump written or verbal will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements made by Donald Trump. A consensus of credible reporting will be used to verify whether the claim was made.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-claims-largest-inauguration-crowd-ever
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Meatbot | Yes | 6.25 |
| oBoonkero | Yes | 5 |
| 379 | Yes | 4 |
| Soldoutval | Yes | 3.45 |
| Echelonprt | Yes | 0.04 |
| Jade Lynx 51BA | Yes | 0.03 |
