Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during victory rally?Yes | buy | 5.27 | $0.740 | $3.9 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.45 |
| $0.580 |
| $2 |
| Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during North Carolina town hall?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "fire" or "fired"" during the debate?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Will the VP debate have less than 40m viewers?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.491 | $1.96 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Trump wins and picks Dimon for Treasury Secretary?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.060 | $0.29 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.11 | $0.470 | $3.34 | Aug 21, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.515 | $3.09 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Kim Dotcom extradited in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 13.11 | $0.610 | $8 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 14, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Iran strike on US military in August?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala flip Trump in the polls in August?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 2024 August hottest on record?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Donald & Melania Trump seen together in August?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "coconut" before August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Joe Biden video statement today?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Trump wins and picks Dimon for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Joe Biden video statement today?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Jul 16, 2024 |
 Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?Trump | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Jul 16, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Will Circle IPO in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.380 | $0.5 | Jul 14, 2024 |
 Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in August?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 12, 2024 |
 DNC open convention?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 12, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 12, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jul 12, 2024 |
 Biden wins the Popular Vote?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 12, 2024 |
 Will England win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jul 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Jul 10, 2024 |
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Roaring Kitty charged in 2024?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Capital gains tax increase before election day?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance?Netherlands | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon Men's?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.124 | $0.62 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.163 | $0.82 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.206 | $2.06 | Jul 10, 2024 |