Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 70% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 4 Feb 2026, the highest close was 98.4% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 9 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 98.4% on 4 Feb 2026. $14.13K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 5, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 4 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 70.0% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 289 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 244 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 229 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-cabinet-member-out-by
| No |
| 118 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 96 |
| S888 | No | 33.08 |
| paas2 | No | 19.42 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 18 |
| Keen Lynx 4779 | Yes | 15.15 |
| ffsFsfq | No | 10.83 |
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