Analytics
Resolved Down on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 90%. The Up side opened at 50% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 4% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 40.5% on 20 Jul 2026. $626.06 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 24, 2026, than on July 17, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 24, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-20260717155128602
| triklozoid | Up | 15 |
| rocketcrypto | Up | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
