Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Resolved

Up, settled Jun 6, 2026 UTC

100.0%

Down

0.0%

Final Up 100¢Final Down 0¢

Lifetime volume

$3.9K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 6, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Up on 6 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Up at 97.1%. The Up side opened at 47.5% on 3 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2026 to 6 Jun 2026, the highest close was 97.1% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 37% on 4 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 53 points up, to 89.5% on 5 Jun 2026. $3.87K traded over the market's life.

22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 11:15 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 Jun 2026 – 6 Jun 2026

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
3 Jun 2026	47.5%
6 Jun 2026	97.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
pengwing	Down	456.98
MZorz	Down	152
.Menthe	Down	50
lg2026	Down	20

10 of 22 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 5, 2026, than on May 29, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 29, 2026, than on June 5, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.