Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Dec 2025.
$16.3K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 24, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 23 Dec 2025, chart shows 54%–66%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | 60.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| andreibets | No | 2.48K |
| zonh | No | 1K |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 393 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 297 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 266 |
| ViktorKrum | No | 199.99 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 196 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 190 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 135 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-new-drug-boat-strike-by-december-31-827
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