Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.120 | $52.65 | +$16.65 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.330 | $99 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.182 |
| $36.4 |
| May 28, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.184 | $20.24 | May 28, 2026 |
 Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays | buy | 76.33 | $0.490 | $37.4 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 94.72 | $0.317 | $30 | May 14, 2026 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays | sell | 250 | $0.260 | $65 | May 11, 2026 |
 Raptors vs. CavaliersRaptors | buy | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | sell | 114.29 | $0.209 | $23.91 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | sell | 48.26 | $0.698 | $33.69 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | buy | 114.3 | $0.026 | $3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.046 | $3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Kanye West release a new song in 2026?Yes | sell | 14.39 | $0.846 | $12.17 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.120 | $9.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Kanye West release a new song in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.61 | $0.879 | $4.93 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 281.71 | $0.250 | $70.43 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 510 | $0.002 | $1.02 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 59.01 | $0.210 | $12.39 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 180 | $0.051 | $9.18 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 50 | $0.260 | $13 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.490 | $14.7 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | sell | 125 | $0.966 | $120.7 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Golden Age of America" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.282 | $11.27 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Intel" or "Nvidia" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 29.2 | $0.640 | $18.69 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Intel" or "Nvidia" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.630 | $3.26 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | sell | 125 | $0.790 | $98.75 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will "Acceptance Speech" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will "Trump" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Kanye West release a new song in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.104 | $10.4 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.350 | $5.25 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?Yes | buy | 104.65 | $0.009 | $0.94 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.870 | $13.05 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 87.5 | $0.859 | $75.16 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $24.97 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?No | buy | 700 | $0.040 | $28 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 87.5 | $0.840 | $73.5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.960 | $28.8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Nov 16, 2025 |