
Resolved No on 10 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 8 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 8 Apr 2025 to 10 Apr 2025, the highest close was 11.5% on 8 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 10 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 1.1% on 9 Apr 2025. $13.42K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 11, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 8 Apr 2025 – 10 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2025 | 11.5% |
| 10 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Pioneer 5DFB | Yes | 114.97 |
| VvVv | Yes | 0.06 |
| 0x74a292 | No | 0.03 |
| milize | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced a 20% reciprocal tariff on all imports from the European Union, set to take effect on April 9, 2025, at 12:01 a.m. EDT, as part of the “Liberation Day” tariff plan (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2025/04/02/regulating-imports-with-a-reciprocal-tariff-to-rectify-trade-practices-that-contribute-to-large-and-persistent-annual-united-states-goods-trade-deficits/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces a pause, delay, or removal on the tariffs on the 20% reciprocal tariff on imports from the European Union by April 9, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any announcement within this market's time frame will qualify regardless of if/when the policy goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-administration-pauses-reciprocal-tariffs-on-eu-before-wednesday
| b72 | No | 0.01 |
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