Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11% on 23 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 345 daily closes on record from 23 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 11% on 23 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. $202.96K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 345 points, 23 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2025 | 11.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| calvinweight | Yes | 8.17K |
| 0x23 | Yes | 3.86K |
| findthetruth | Yes | 1.69K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US federal income tax is eliminated between January 21 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "abolishing the federal income tax" means the elimination of federal income tax obligations for individuals in the US, not merely reductions, suspensions, or alterations to tax rates, brackets, or enforcement policies. The market will not consider executive orders, temporary measures, or proposals that do not become law. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, including announcements from Donald Trump and the IRS, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-abolishes-the-federal-income-tax-in-2025
| PRESIDENTEJavierMilei | Yes | 600 |
| Anjun | Yes | 545 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 150 |
| power1337 | Yes | 131.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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