Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump abolishes the Federal Income Tax in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.070 | $91 | Feb 26, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 2.31K |
| $0.080 |
| $185 |
| Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 1.96K | $0.150 | $294.62 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.544 | $1.07K | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 9K | $0.025 | $223.34 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?No | sell | 759 | $0.100 | $75.93 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?Yes | buy | 928.43 | $0.082 | $76 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 759 | $0.132 | $100 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 17.84K | $0.017 | $300 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Hoffman vs. WarwickWarwick | buy | 15.89 | $0.640 | $10.17 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.040 | $40 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Unrealized gains tax passed before election day?Yes | sell | 3.35K | $0.015 | $50.2 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?Yes | sell | 3.49K | $0.031 | $108.47 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.060 | $10.71 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.750 | $11.72 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 100.2 | $0.310 | $31.06 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 2024 August hottest on record?Yes | sell | 11.23 | $0.980 | $11.01 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | sell | 277.77 | $0.270 | $75 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.099 | $33 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 20.53 | $0.517 | $10.61 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?No | sell | 136.98 | $0.820 | $112.32 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Friday?No | buy | 107.63 | $0.929 | $100 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov released in August?Yes | sell | 983.66 | $0.994 | $977.76 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?No | sell | 38 | $0.800 | $30.4 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.030 | $1.14 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov released before October?Yes | sell | 0.79 | $0.900 | $0.71 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?No | sell | 116.98 | $0.976 | $114.17 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released before October?Yes | sell | 54.21 | $0.716 | $38.83 | Aug 28, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released in August?Yes | buy | 983.67 | $0.330 | $324.61 | Aug 27, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released in August?No | sell | 96.5 | $0.670 | $64.66 | Aug 27, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released before October?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.320 | $476.2 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?Yes | sell | 516.89 | $0.110 | $56.86 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.496 | $2.48 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?No | buy | 106 | $0.961 | $101.87 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Pavel Durov released in August?No | buy | 96.51 | $0.725 | $70 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 75K | $0.001 | $75 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. wins a state?Yes | buy | 9.3K | $0.011 | $100 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 6.24K | $0.032 | $200 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win 1-2% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.097 | $250 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.49K | $0.057 | $200 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Unrealized gains tax passed before election day?Yes | buy | 3.35K | $0.030 | $99.9 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| RFK Jr. wins a state?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.007 | $30 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 257.69 | $0.039 | $10 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Aug 24, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.250 | $25 | Aug 24, 2024 |