- What is the “Trudeau out in 2025?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Trudeau out in 2025? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trudeau departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($400.79K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
- Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
- Vultax loaded 30 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 99.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
