Analytics
Yes is at 79.5%, up 29 points from 51% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 73 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 13 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 72%; a month before, 57%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 58% on 14 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Trevor Lawrence 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns”.
$220.55 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.87K since listing. The order book holds $216.2, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 93 trades, $502.65 bought Yes and $150.07 bought No.
The largest Yes position is ChuDebbieSharp with 86 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 95. Ten wallets hold 82.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 93 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 51.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 79.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | No | 94.75 |
| ChuDebbieSharp | Yes | 85.58 |
| ZhouCD | No | 78.28 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Trevor Lawrence records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 25.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Trevor Lawrence does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Trevor Lawrence recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trevor-lawrence-passing-touchdowns-2026-27
| extractive-manatee |
| Yes |
| 42 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 40 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 40 |
| just-bettor | Yes | 25.66 |
| funplayer- | Yes | 20 |
| KindaBoiled | Yes | 20 |
| Scoopdewhoop | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
