Analytics
Yes is at 51.5%, up 2 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 21 Jul 2026.
Across the 92 daily closes on record from 21 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 22 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 47.5%; a month before, 32.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 72% on 22 Jul 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “TownSquare FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$1.75K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $150.27, with a 33.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 53 trades, $307.64 bought Yes and $335.26 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 212 shares; the largest No position is Kharekk with 90.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 92 points, 21 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 212.06 |
| Kharekk | No | 89.93 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 30 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of TownSquare's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by TownSquare after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If TownSquare (https://x.com/TownSquarexyz) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/townsquare-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-20260720191919468
| pppnn |
| No |
| 30 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 30 |
| Bright Sphinx 1B73 | No | 29.43 |
| Haradwaith | No | 26.07 |
| rogervu92 | Yes | 21 |
| qqqmmmccc | No | 21 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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