Analytics
Yes is at 25.5%, down 19 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
The high was 44.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the low 10% on 6 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 16.5%; a month ago, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 20.5% on 3 Jul 2026.
$304.11 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $118.4, with a 33.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 35 shares; the largest No position is LornaPredicts with 34.
Trading closes on 4 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 19, 4:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 19 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 44.5% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | Yes | 35.17 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 34.37 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 18.5 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tom-kean-jrptout-as-us-rep-before-term-ends-20260701205956589
| niglette |
| Yes |
| 12.38 |
| litigation | Yes | 5.32 |
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