Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 87 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 1 Apr 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.5% on 13 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2026. $34.88K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 1 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 2.1% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| for-the-lulz | Yes | 2.35K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Good-Suspect | Yes | 222.63 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tim-walz-in-jail-by-march-31
| Solar Scout 92ED | Yes | 212.88 |
| asfdt22 | Yes | 210.44 |
| chivoexpiatorio | Yes | 147 |
| Indigo Raven BA64 | Yes | 100 |
| th997 | Yes | 98.68 |
| dimoooo | Yes | 60 |
| Haaaas | Yes | 43.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
