
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 6% on 28 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 187 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2023 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 25% on 10 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 25% on 10 Jan 2024. $284.78K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 10:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 187 points, 28 Dec 2023 – 1 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2023 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| binkybill248 | Yes | 1.27K |
| Ntynisissah | Yes | 600.36 |
| loserwinner | Yes | 172.41 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the TikTok app is banned for download and/or use by the majority of Americans in the United States by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tiktok-banned-in-the-us-by-june-30
| 0x0144 | Yes | 99.65 |
| PhoenixPioneer | Yes | 93.75 |
| lethalcheese | Yes | 76.92 |
| Zakamoto1 | Yes | 49.18 |
| Elliotwood | Yes | 22.22 |
| Fitscore | Yes | 21.28 |
| ztabche | Yes | 10.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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