Question 1

What is the “The 'Bill' Epstein Parlay” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: The 'Bill' Epstein Parlay Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Jun 30, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of both Bill Clinton and Bill Gates by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any mention of the listed individual, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities will qualify. If the Trump administration releases files which do not contain mention of both individuals, this market will remain open…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($54.37K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 23 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 95.9% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jul 2, 8:24 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/the-epstein-parlay) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Jul 1, 12:00 AM	1.1%	1.1%
Jun 30, 12:00 AM	3.8%	3.8%
Jun 29, 12:00 AM	3.4%	3.4%

The 'Bill' Epstein Parlay

Questions about this market