Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 49% on 28 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 124 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 49% on 28 Feb 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 28 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 14.5% on 10 Mar 2025. $54.37K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 124 points, 28 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2025 | 49.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 484 |
| WhitneyHouston | Yes | 402.45 |
| Carrotes | Yes | 290.24 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed or unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of both Bill Clinton and Bill Gates by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any mention of the listed individual, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities will qualify. If the Trump administration releases files which do not contain mention of both individuals, this market will remain open until the resolution date to allow for additional files to be released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-epstein-parlay
| Yes |
| 172.06 |
| Lukevdn5 | Yes | 89.38 |
| Wrongbet | Yes | 82.35 |
| kiimu | Yes | 36.36 |
| Fercash | Yes | 32.71 |
| Indigo Meteor C0CD | Yes | 25 |
| koliuhgf | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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