Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 17 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2024 to 1 Nov 2024, the highest close was 15.5% on 18 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 15.5% on 18 Oct 2024. $83.31K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 17 Oct 2024 – 1 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2024 | 8.5% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Julian1337 | Yes | 888.13 |
| creamdream | Yes | 695.46 |
| duke | Yes | 250 |
| ssai | Yes | 85.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On October 15, 2024, Tesla made its first Bitcoin transaction in 2 years. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1846298407867990344 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla is confirmed to have sold any of its Bitcoin between October 14 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Moving Bitcoin alone will not count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tesla-sells-bitcoin-in-october
| jimineutron | Yes | 35.71 |
| Swmp9 | Yes | 22.5 |
| Pmorp | Yes | 20 |
| UNKWN | Yes | 12.5 |
| RadiantRaven | Yes | 6.25 |
| akuppa | Yes | 6.25 |
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