Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 27% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 29 Apr 2026, the highest close was 100% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 26% on 22 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 53 points up, to 100% on 29 Apr 2026. $5.45K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 29, 8:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 29 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 27.0% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 391.21 |
| dz1ft | No | 66.29 |
| alvaro25011 | No | 60.01 |
| Bold Summit 7AD8 | Yes | 30.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between April 21, 12:00 PM ET and April 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/tedcruz
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ted-cruz-of-tweets-april-21-april-28-2026
| Jade Atlas 6F63 | Yes | 24.93 |
| yangzige | No | 20 |
| Quiet Scout 2C51 | No | 7.87 |
| Lunar Pioneer E7D4 | No | 5 |
| paspor | No | 0.5 |
| Enchanted-Uniform | No | 0.43 |
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