Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 4 Jul 2026, the highest close was 98% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 96% on 1 Jul 2026. $19.37K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 1:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 4 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | 95.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HGhuman | No | 771.83 |
| EmerySal | No | 702.17 |
| Thesyrup | No | 450.01 |
| Qwertashie | No | 416.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift's marriage takes place by July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resole to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-x-travis-kelce-get-married-by
| Subdued-Judgment | No | 142.4 |
| PROFFDEEZ | No | 137.22 |
| meowmiao9 | No | 111.11 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 104.81 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Dimer | No | 100 |
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