Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 4.3% on 21 Dec 2025. $8.31K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 48.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 328 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 232 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 140 |
| Unfinished-Endpoint | Yes | 138.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taiwan's Premier, Cho Jung-tai, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Premier Cho Jung-tai will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as Premier, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Premier within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taiwanese-premier-cho-jung-tai-out-before-2026
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 112 |
| wylzub | Yes | 102.35 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 93 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 81 |
| Kanp | Yes | 46.64 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 44.81 |
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