Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.4%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 11.5% on 25 Jul 2025 and the low 0.3% on 30 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 6.5% on 26 Jul 2025. $78.27K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 39 points · 25 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 3.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.83K |
| Ronenio | Yes | 3.5K |
| Mattkvoyebca | Yes | 601.14 |
| Notable-Median | Yes | 499.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if Syria initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between July 24, 3:00 PM ET and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Syrian forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of July 24, 2025. This includes the Israeli controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/syria-strikes-israel-by-august-31
| Cloudy-Gokart | Yes | 249.5 |
| sipma | Yes | 116.67 |
| SackMAN10 | Yes | 59.41 |
| Shaham | Yes | 35.52 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 25 |
| Alienhands | No | 20.04 |
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