
Yes is at 13.5%, down 2 points from 15.5% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 21 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 18% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 17.5%.
$25.06 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.9K since listing. The order book holds $11.39K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 73 trades, $567.97 bought Yes and $2.43K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Jensen1337 with 518 shares; the largest No position is Tattered-Ephyra with 1.5K. Ten wallets hold 72.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tattered-Ephyra | No | 1.5K |
| h4xor | No | 742.4 |
| Jensen1337 | Yes | 518 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Sweden between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal ordering of an extraordinary election, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Riksdag before the next scheduled ordinary Riksdag election. An extraordinary election ordered by the Government, an extraordinary election formally scheduled by the Speaker following the Riksdag's rejection of the Speaker's proposal for Prime Minister four times, and any other means provided for by the Instrument of Government all qualify. An announcement of an intention to order an extraordinary election, a failed vote on a proposed Prime Minister, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The fourth rejection of a proposed Prime Minister will not qualify until the resulting extraordinary election is formally scheduled. The election need not take place by the deadline. Once a qualifying election is formally ordered or scheduled, its subsequent cancellation or postponement will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sweden-snap-election-called-in-2026
| Antony82 |
| Yes |
| 500.59 |
| lava-lava | No | 437.55 |
| Poivre | Yes | 400 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 335.35 |
| DistMistFist | Yes | 310.77 |
| mstrom | Yes | 302.94 |
| AJSV | Yes | 242.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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