Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 9 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 268 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 9 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 8.5% on 10 Apr 2024. $115.16K traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 1:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 268 points, 9 Apr 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2024 | 50.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frodobaggins1983 | Yes | 70.31 |
| morrongabipoc | Yes | 66.67 |
| rudyh | Yes | 39.47 |
asd
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/supreme-court-vacancy-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| sgj | Yes | 7.69 |
| AgentP | Yes | 7.14 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 5 |
| Msarkowicz | Yes | 0.85 |
| fp3ftem41hd2bz21r4 | Yes | 0.08 |
| b4y7fotjwz1ukss | Yes | 0.08 |
| yy9669iue2n14l | Yes | 0.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
