Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 27 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 66 daily closes on record from 27 Apr 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 14.5% on 22 Jun 2024 and the lowest 4.5% on 27 Apr 2024. $72.27K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 27 Apr 2024 – 1 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Apr 2024 | 4.5% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 9.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nicky69366139 | Yes | 10 |
| 165849485 | No | 1.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) upholds Trump's argument for absolute presidential immunity from criminal charges in Trump v. United States (No. 23-939) once its decision on this case is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If SCOTUS declines to rule on this case, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If SCOTUS remands this case, sending it back to a lower court, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is official information released by SCOTUS, however a consensus of credible reporting and interpretation will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/supreme-court-upholds-absolute-immunity-for-trump
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