Supreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?

Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 10, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$121.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 10, 2025 UTC

Topic roomSupreme Court

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 10 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 25 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2025 to 10 Apr 2025, the highest close was 99.7% on 10 Apr 2025 and the lowest 34.5% on 25 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 88% on 8 Apr 2025. $121.51K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 11, 8:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 25 Mar 2025 – 10 Apr 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Mar 2025	34.5%
10 Apr 2025	99.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
SPemberton	Yes	35.59
1236543	No	3.77
gabline	No	2.27

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On March 13, Judge William Alsup released an order mandating the rehire of thousands of workers they considered wrongfully dismissed. You can read more about that here: https://time.com/7268018/court-orders-trump-rehire-probationary-workers/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States takes any action, such as issuing a ruling, order, or stay that delays the enforcement of Alsup's order by May 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official Supreme Court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of the rehiring order will qualify. If the Supreme Court does not take any action on the matter by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.