Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 129 daily closes on record from 15 May 2026 to 22 Sep 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 15 May 2026 and the lowest 16% on 27 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 16% on 27 May 2026. $2.02 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 8:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 129 points, 15 May 2026 – 22 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 1.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Caracas FC and Botafogo FR, scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Caracas FC vs. Botafogo FR match originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sud-cara-bot-2026-05-27-exact-score
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