Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 25 Feb 2026, the highest close was 35.5% on 23 Feb 2026 and the lowest 23% on 25 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 23% on 25 Feb 2026. $17.25K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 25 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 35.5% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 23.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 164 |
| xiaodouzi | Yes | 100 |
| roguenation | Yes | 86.9 |
| ydxistheking | Yes | 57.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market is over bingo card 2 for the 2026 State of the Union address scheduled for February 24, 2026. Each square on the bingo card is associated with a Polymarket event on the speech. You can find the bingo card here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Bingo-2.png This market will resolve to "Yes" if any row/column/diagonal of 5 squares on this market's bingo card is completely filled. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For a row to be filled, the event in each square must have occurred, and the associated Polymarket event must have resolved to "Yes". The Free Space is counted as filled by default. A full row can be horizontal, vertical, or diagonal. If the 2026 State of the Union address does not take place by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the resolution of the Polymarket events associated with each square on the bingo card. The specific rules associated with each event can be found below: -https://polymarket.com/event/what-places-will-trump-mention-during-the-state-of-the-union-address -https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-the-state-of-the-union-address -https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-name-during-the-state-of-the-union-address -https://polymarket.com/event/what-nicknames-will-trump-say-during-the-2026-state-of-the-union-address -https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-state-of-the-union-address -https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-state-of-the-union-address-be Note: "MAGA" includes "Make America Great Again"
| Insidious-Ottoman | Yes | 56.66 |
| PX5300 | Yes | 30 |
| Merry-Puma | Yes | 20.83 |
| Welcome-Viewer | Yes | 3.57 |
| Prestigious-Rear | Yes | 2.78 |
| melancolie | No | 0.03 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/state-of-the-union-bingo-card-2
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