Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 13 Jul 2026, the highest close was 12% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 5% on 13 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 5% on 13 Jul 2026. $571.17 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 6:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 13 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 10.5% |
| 13 Jul 2026 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 13?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-july-13-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| commeowder | Yes | 5 |
