
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2026.
$6.11K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 7:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 2 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 3.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| capib | Yes | 228.06 |
| sdfe3fw | Yes | 120 |
| 56ght5 | Yes | 111 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Anonimnez | Yes | 16.67 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Machorski | Yes | 10 |
| Slothtrop | Yes | 5.77 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 2?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-july-2-2026
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