Analytics
Resolved No on 18 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 12% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 18 May 2026, the highest close was 31.5% on 17 May 2026 and the lowest 8% on 18 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 8% on 18 May 2026. $20.21K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 19, 7:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 16 May 2026 – 18 May 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 12.0% |
| 18 May 2026 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gfbty5y | Yes | 5.2K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| abryant42 | Yes | 52.63 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-may-18-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 |
| Poternol | No | 4.05 |
| Colala | Yes | 0 |
