Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Jul 2026.
$3.23K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 7:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 31 Jul 2026, chart shows 78%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 84.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rough-Forecast | No | 82.6 |
| Stealthcrow | No | 80 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 12.4 |
| Cluttered-Infection | No | 11.11 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 31?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-july-31-2026
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