Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in January?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$13.9K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 31, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 31 Jan 2026, the highest close was 62% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 23.1% on 30 Jan 2026. $13.87K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 8:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 31 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Jan 2026	50.5%
31 Jan 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Strident-Freak	Yes	624.19
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	520
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	347
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	345

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

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