Analytics
Yes is at 99.8%, up 41 points from 59% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
The high was 99.8% on 5 Oct 2026 and the low 58.5% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 83.5% on 5 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Spain snap election called by...?”.
$8.98K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $21.29K since listing. The order book holds $52.91K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 191 trades, $5.4K bought Yes and $2.65K bought No.
The largest Yes position is knrad with 2.2K shares; the largest No position is acmzsk with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 73.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 57 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 5, 6:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 3 Oct 2026 – 5 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 59.0% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 99.8% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spain-snap-election-called-in-2026
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed |
| No |
| 991.9 |
| pkz | Yes | 808.55 |
| acc42020 | No | 588.75 |
| F0EDaD999a2E64C9594d645F5Dd83B09526C87B1 | Yes | 496.82 |
| Genuine-Business-Howard | No | 482.32 |
| enriquebet998 | No | 449.95 |
| JasonPunos | Yes | 407.92 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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