Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 54% on 11 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2026 to 13 Jun 2026, the highest close was 54% on 11 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 0.1% on 13 Jun 2026. $7.46K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 14, 5:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Jun 2026 – 13 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | 54.0% |
| 13 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| This-Resume | Yes | 1.47K |
| Negative-Hunting | Yes | 1K |
| Chayzon | Yes | 540.92 |
| richdakid | Yes | 266.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX’s primary exchange places any volatility-related halt or pause on trading of SpaceX stock on its first day of trading. A qualifying halt must take place after SpaceX shares have already been publicly traded on its primary exchange. A qualifying halt or pause on trading must be in response to specific volatility in SpaceX stock. Any market-wide halt, like a “circuit breaker”, will not qualify. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange. In the event that historical trading halts are unavailable on the primary exchange, another reliable source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-trading-halted-for-volatility-20260610002021403
| MeiAgs9 | Yes | 115 |
| S888 | Yes | 111 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Soupy-Image | Yes | 98.76 |
| pistolpete67 | Yes | 89.82 |
| Cryptomoses | Yes | 78.41 |
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