Analytics
Resolved Up on 16 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 0%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 16 Jun 2026 and the low 49.5% on 13 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 81% on 15 Jun 2026. $20.46K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 17, 3:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 16 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 57.5% |
| 16 Jun 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lexswitz | Down | 1.85K |
| Liquidifier | Down | 434 |
| Distinct-Kale | Down | 209.99 |
| randomusernameasitdoesntmatter | Down | 208.33 |
| pRdm | Down | 199.98 |
| neutralwave23 | Down | 192.46 |
| User14657 | Down | 124.38 |
| TENETENET | Down | 100 |
| the.chosenone | Down | 100 |
| Joint-Partner | Down | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-open-updown-on-second-day-20260608180600456
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