Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 90% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 13 Jun 2026, the highest close was 100% on 13 Jun 2026 and the lowest 90% on 10 Jun 2026. $7.99K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 14, 6:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 13 Jun 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 90.0% |
| 13 Jun 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quantentunnel | No | 1.5K |
| Keen Scout EB71 | No | 133.39 |
| weiranzhao97 | No | 132 |
| mikezhang | No | 110 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The official opening and IPO prices as listed by the primary exchange and will be considered the opening and IPO share prices for the purposes of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-open-price-above-ipo-price-20260608141838202
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Colala | No | 60 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| bjprolo | No | 41.01 |
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