Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 95.5% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 22 Jul 2026, the highest close was 99.7% on 23 Jun 2026 and the lowest 95.5% on 10 Jun 2026. $12.54K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 10:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 22 Jul 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 95.5% |
| 22 Jul 2026 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Trade-Elections-Colombia-117 | No | 2.56K |
| Cobalt Voyager 1733 | No | 500 |
| 0H0 | No | 192.1 |
| 0x79AB5252 | No | 118.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-officially-added-to-nasdaq-100-in-2026-20260608205014294
| Lavincey | No | 98.86 |
| TENETENET | No | 88.43 |
| arleclec | No | 69.99 |
| SouthEasternHill | No | 35.32 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom | No | 29.4 |
| Mcsleader | No | 27.78 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
