Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 7.2 | $0.140 | $0.9 | -$0.11 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.3 | $0.070 | $1 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 14.3 |
| $0.070 |
| $0.78 |
| -$0.22 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.4 | $0.070 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 13.8 | $0.073 | $0.53 | -$0.48 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 6.7 | $0.160 | $0.4 | -$0.67 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 5 | $0.250 | $0.3 | -$0.95 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.580 | $0.06 | -$1.94 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | Yes | 0.55 | $0.150 | $0.03 | -$0.05 |
 Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.146 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 6.13 |
| $0.144 |
| $0.88 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.489 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.059 | $1.47 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.997 | $5.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.003 | $1.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.9 | $0.101 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.227 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 72.49 | $0.014 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.125 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?Yes | buy | 30.14 | $0.033 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.600 | $2.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.882 | $6.78 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.500 | $12.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.199 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.220 | $0.29 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?No | buy | 71.5 | $0.014 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |