
Resolved No on 8 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 20 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 8 Sep 2026, the highest close was 48% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 8 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 48% on 27 Aug 2026. $2.67K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 8 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 6.5% |
| 8 Sep 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Menacing-Revitalization-Anorak | Yes | 100 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir both appear as candidates on the same party list submitted to the Central Elections Committee to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A list on which both individuals appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions either individual occupies on the list. If either individual does not appear on any party list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered. If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/smotrich-and-ben-gvir-on-the-same-party-list
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| wallet-account-test | Yes | 40 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 30.24 |
| Yomas | Yes | 20 |
| EYaa | Yes | 15.04 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
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