Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2026 to 13 Jul 2026, the highest close was 97.5% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 74.5% on 2 Jul 2026. $3.08K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 10:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 13 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 13 Jul 2026 | 97.5% |
9 more markets, none above 54.5%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cripes3 | No | 600 |
| Oklmntrader | No | 105.55 |
| niglette | No | 19.6 |
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-appear-in-avengers-doomsday
| hesure | No | 10 |
| Mojito9 | No | 9.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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